Greetings,
Last Modification
Markets stumbled during the week of November 3–7, 2025, as tech-led volatility and macro uncertainty triggered a broad risk-off tone.
The week began with optimism around AI Mega caps, fueled by Amazon’s $38 billion deal with OpenAI and Microsoft’s expanded GPU access via Iren, lifting chip stocks like Nvidia and Micron. However, the rally quickly reversed as valuation concerns around AI high-flyers intensified, especially after Palantir’s strong earnings were met with calls for restraint from Wall Street CEOs. Midweek, Qualcomm’s upbeat forecast failed to impress investors, highlighting a trend of earnings beats not translating into stock gains. The Nasdaq posted its worst week since April 2025, falling over 4%, while the S&P 500 and Dow dropped 2.7% and 2.0%, respectively LPL Financial. Broader sentiment soured amid mixed labor market signals, a delayed jobs report due to the ongoing government shutdown, and record-low consumer confidence. Commodities were mixed: oil slid 2.1%, gold held steady, and natural gas surged nearly 6%. Despite early AI enthusiasm, the week closed with heightened caution and fading breadth across equities.
The Plan
Weekend Observations
Weekend Observations
Weekend developments from November 8–9, 2025, may inject fresh volatility into markets this week, especially around energy, geopolitics, and consumer sentiment.
Over the weekend, OPEC+ ministers held an unscheduled virtual meeting to discuss potential production cuts amid sliding oil prices, raising speculation about supply-side tightening that could impact inflation expectations and energy stocks. Meanwhile, China reported weaker-than-expected October trade data, with exports falling 3.2% year-over-year, stoking concerns about global demand and pressuring industrial commodities. In the U.S., consumer sentiment remained near record lows, according to preliminary November readings, reinforcing fears of a slowdown in discretionary spending ahead of the holiday season. Additionally, tensions in the Middle East escalated after drone strikes near key shipping lanes, prompting renewed focus on defense stocks and crude oil futures. These developments set the stage for a potentially choppy week, with investors watching closely for policy responses and earnings guidance from retail and energy sectors.
Monday
11/10/2025
- Indices up • Metals up • VIX down • BTC up
- Basic Materials •Technology • Communication Services up
- Silver • Pharma Retailers • Gold • Other Precious Metals & Mining up
- Heat Map: Late Summer
- $MU $NEM $PLTR $GLTO $COGT up $GORV $MNDY $CNC $IPG $SYY $UHS down
- Crypto up
- NAAIM Exposure Index: 90.06
- Fear & Greed Index: 21 Extreme Fear
- Earnings after close: $CRWV $OXY $RKLB $ASTS $PSKY $RGTI $WULF $PLUG $BBAI many more
- Earnings before market opens tomorrow: $PVLA $KALV $NRXS $ORLA
- Truth Social @WhiteHouse: Day 40 of the Democrat Shutdown, and it’s only getting worse for the American people. Democrats could end this today.
Progress toward ending the U.S. government shutdown has lifted S&P 500 futures, while forex markets reflect cautious optimism amid ECB rate hike signals and strong UK retail data. Traders are watching for follow-through on Friday’s momentum and potential volatility from healthcare and cloud computing sectors.
If you give 2% more each day, you’re tapping into the quiet power of compounding effort.
2% Rule: A Guide to Compounding Effort – CD Sears
Good luck today …
Make it Happen!
Tuesday
11/11/2025
Wednesday
11/12/2025
Thursday
11/13/2025
Friday
11/14/2025
Around the Bend…
The Scan
Links
5:30 AM – Coffee and The Scan. The links below fuel my morning notes, which are made pertaining to indicators, news, noise, and reading traders’ morning thoughts, which pave the way for markets opening.
Options Calculator
EDGAR System
The proverb “Don’t Put All Your Eggs in One Basket” means don’t risk everything on a single plan or idea. It advises diversifying resources to minimize potential loss. The saying alludes to gathering all the eggs from your hens into one basket so that if you should drop the basket, you lose all your eggs. Sorry, but I disagree … read on
The concerns which fail are those which have scattered their capital, which means that they have scattered their brains also. They have investments in this, or that, or the other, here, there and everywhere. “Don’t put all your eggs in one basket” is all wrong. I tell you “put all your eggs in one basket, and then watch that basket.” Look round you and take notice; men who do that do not often fail. It is easy to watch and carry the one basket. It is trying to carry too many baskets that breaks most eggs in this country. He who carries three baskets must put one on his head, which is apt to tumble and trip him up. One fault of the American business man is lack of concentration. June 23, 1885 Andrew Carnegie
I believe that moving the closest to perfecting a profitable trading process requires a persistent focus on fine-tuning a programmatically consistent approach of relentless action.